On February 6, 2025, the Cultural and Area Studies Office at the Command and General Staff College conducted a panel discussing Iran’s status and the Axis of Resistance. Highlighting recent crises faced by Iran, panelists analyzed the dynamics affecting its power and influence. Key insights included the Axis’s fragmentation, shifts in regional alliances, and the persistent divide between the Iranian regime and its people’s aspirations for freedom.
On February 6, 2025, the Command and General Staff College’s Cultural and Area Studies Office hosted a panel titled “Iran and the Axis of Resistance: Declining Power or Evolving Threat?” The discussion focused on the challenges surrounding Iran and its associated militias, known as the Axis of Resistance, in light of recent developments that have significantly impacted their influence in the region.
Dr. Mahir J. Ibrahimov, Director of the Cultural and Area Studies Office, initiated the conversation, underscoring its relevance to ongoing discussions about the U.S. and its allies’ challenges regarding Iran. Panelists, including CGSC faculty, examined the cultural, economic, and political dynamics affecting Iran’s power historically and in the present.
Mark J. Bosse, Chair of Diplomacy Studies at CGSC, noted, “It hasn’t been a good couple of years for Iran and the ‘Axis of Resistance.’” His remarks highlighted the setbacks faced by the Axis, including significant losses within Hamas and Hezbollah’s leadership, suggesting that their previously strong coordination has weakened.
In recent developments, new leadership in Lebanon and Syria distanced themselves from Iranian influence, illustrating a growing fragmentation within the Axis. Additionally, Houthi militants ended their attacks on shipping, which were previously designed to support the Palestinian cause.
Bosse remarked on Iran’s historical ability to adapt to crises, emphasizing the ideological push within the media landscape of Oman that has shifted from neutrality to promoting anti-U.S. and anti-Israel sentiments post-October 7th. He elaborated on Iran’s mixed-use of political and cultural influence to galvanize public support across the region.
Offering a unique perspective on U.S.-Iran relations was Dr. Tirdad Daei, Senior Instructional Specialist at CGSC. He traced the complex history of this relationship beginning with 1833 and missionary Justin Perkins. Key events such as the CIA’s involvement in the 1953 coup and the 1979 hostage crisis shaped a narrative of mistrust that remains critical today.
Daei illustrated the paradox faced by the Iranian populace, who historically admire U.S. democratic values despite decades of hostility from their own regime. He noted, “The divide between Iranian people and the regime is a critical factor in U.S. and Iran relations,” emphasizing the Iranian people’s desire for freedom remains strong.
Gary Hobin, Assistant Professor, described the Axis of Resistance as an interconnected network of groups with individual interests rather than a fully compliant front. He noted recent shifts, particularly the disintegration of Syrian ties within the Axis, complicating Iran’s influence in the broader region.
Hobin also mentioned shifting dynamics in Iraq, as some Shiite political factions previously advocating for American withdrawal now support the continued presence of U.S. forces. Furthermore, Iranian opposition groups have seized upon social unrest to voice their grievances, indicating a longing for change among the populace.
The panel concluded with a Q&A session, fostering deeper discussions on Syria and Turkey’s roles in the evolving context. This gathering was part of an ongoing seminar series aiming to address strategic issues pertinent to the United States, live-streamed for public access and engagement.
The panel at the Command and General Staff College provided valuable insights into the challenges facing Iran and the Axis of Resistance. Key dynamics, such as internal leadership changes and regional fragmentation, have led to questions about Iran’s status as a declining power or an evolving threat. Furthermore, the deep-seated admiration for U.S. values among the Iranian populace highlights the complexities of engagement strategies moving forward. The discussions underscored the need for U.S. policymakers to consider these intricate relationships and local sentiments when shaping foreign policy regarding Iran.
Original Source: www.dvidshub.net
