The ongoing crisis in Sudan, exacerbated by foreign intervention and neglect, faces worsening humanitarian conditions and a move toward partition. With international attention diverted, the country suffers from diminished aid and escalating violence. Urgent intervention through a ceasefire and support for civilian governance is essential to prevent further catastrophe and regional instability.
Since the outbreak of war in April 2023, Sudan has been caught in a cycle of neglect on the global stage, largely overshadowed by crises in Ukraine and Gaza. Despite the emergence of serious humanitarian issues, including famine and instances of mass atrocities, Sudan has failed to capture significant international attention. The response from the global community, particularly the United States, has been inadequate, with the absence of civic mobilization mirroring the insufficient reactions to past events like the Darfur genocide.
The United States has undermined its influence on international matters, particularly through cuts to foreign aid programs like USAID, thereby exacerbating the dire situation in Sudan. As humanitarian assistance dwindles, various international actors, including Russia, are exploiting the chaos for their own strategic benefits, such as securing access to key resources like Port Sudan. This disarray negatively impacts any hope for a constructive foreign policy focus on the Sudanese crisis.
Amid escalating violence, Sudan edges closer to partition, with the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and their allies making military gains, though intentions to drive out their adversaries seem unrealistic. Recent developments include the RSF signing a political agreement with anti-SAF groups, aiming to retain control over significant regions in western Sudan. Given the fractious nature of current coalitions, the prospect of achieving peace in a divided Sudan appears bleak.
Foreign powers involved in the conflict, including Egypt, Turkey, and Iran backing the SAF, and the UAE and Chad supporting the RSF, have faced minimal repercussions for their roles in Sudan’s turmoil. The Sudanese populace continues to experience severe repercussions, including displacement and deprivation of essential services. Without an end to external support, a ceasefire, and a commitment to civilian governance, the cycle of violence is likely to continue, with ramifications felt far beyond Sudan’s borders.
In conclusion, the crisis in Sudan requires urgent international attention and intervention. The lack of global focus, compounded by reduced assistance and ongoing foreign involvement in the conflict, further exacerbates the humanitarian disaster. A sustainable resolution hinges on ending external support, establishing a ceasefire, and developing a clear path toward civilian governance. The situation remains precarious as global leadership falters.
Original Source: www.cfr.org
