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Africa Set to Exceed 1.5°C Climate Threshold by 2040 Despite Low Emissions

A study published in CABI Reviews predicts that Africa will reach the 1.5°C climate change threshold by 2040 in all its subregions, even under low emission scenarios. This research, conducted by scientists from key African institutions, highlights the necessity for strategies facilitating low emission and climate-resilient agricultural practices as Africa faces significant climate challenges.

Recent research featured in CABI Reviews indicates that Africa is poised to breach the 1.5°C climate change threshold—established by the Paris Agreement—by the year 2040 across all five of its subregions, even if low emission scenarios are achieved.

A collaborative team from the University of Zimbabwe, the International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) in Kenya, and the African Group of Negotiators Experts Support (AGNES) undertook a comprehensive literature review. This examination aimed to devise frameworks for just transition pathways promoting low emission and climate-resilient agricultural development in Africa amid the anticipated 1.5°C rise.

Despite contributing less than 4% of global greenhouse gas emissions, the research revealed that every subregion of Africa will encounter significant challenges in climate management by 2040 due to the looming threshold breach. These findings underscore the urgency for robust climate adaptation strategies across the continent.

In summary, the study underscores the critical issue of climate change in Africa, with projections indicating the continent will surpass the 1.5°C threshold by 2040 in all subregions. This situation persists despite Africa’s currently low contribution to global emissions. The need for coherent strategies targeting low emission and climate-resilient agriculture is more pressing than ever to address the impending challenges posed by climate change.

Original Source: www.cgiar.org

Leila Abdi

Leila Abdi is a seasoned journalist known for her compelling feature articles that explore cultural and societal themes. With a Bachelor's degree in Journalism and a Master's in Sociology, she began her career in community news, focusing on underrepresented voices. Her work has been recognized with several awards, and she now writes for prominent media outlets, covering a diverse range of topics that reflect the evolving fabric of society. Leila's empathetic storytelling combined with her analytical skills has garnered her a loyal readership.

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