The 69th GHACOF reports a forecast of warmer-than-normal conditions in the IGAD region for March-May 2025, highlighting ongoing extreme temperatures and the need for constant climate monitoring. February observed severe temperature anomalies in various regions, posing risks to human health and socio-economic activities.
The recent update from the 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69) revealed a forecast predicting warmer-than-normal conditions in the IGAD region for March through May 2025. The Intergovernmental Authority on Development Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) has underlined the necessity for continuous monitoring of climate forecasts, particularly regarding sub-seasonal timescales, where climate hazards typically arise.
Weekly forecasts throughout February highlighted an ongoing pattern of warmer temperature anomalies in the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA). This trend signals an increased likelihood of extreme temperature hazards across the region. Notably, February’s temperature analysis demonstrated that regions such as South Sudan, Uganda, and parts of northern and western Kenya encountered severe temperature conditions.
From February 1 to 28, average daily maximum temperatures in parts of South Sudan, southeastern Sudan, northern Kenya, and southern Somalia frequently exceeded 38°C. Reports indicated instances where daily maximum temperatures reached 40°C in specific regions of South Sudan and Kenya, signifying an escalating risk of adverse effects on human health, livestock welfare, and socio-economic activities.
In summary, the regional forecast indicates persistent warmer temperatures and a heightened risk of extreme climate conditions throughout the IGAD region. This necessitates ongoing monitoring and preparedness to mitigate potential negative impacts on human health and socio-economic stability. Authorities in the affected regions must remain vigilant and responsive to the evolving climate situation to safeguard livelihoods.
Original Source: reliefweb.int
