The GHACOF 69 forum forecasts warmer-than-normal temperatures for March-May 2025 across the IGAD region. Ongoing observations reveal extreme heat in South Sudan, Uganda, northern and western Kenya, with temperatures exceeding 38°C and reaching 40°C in some areas. This situation presents serious risks to human well-being and economic activities.
The 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69) noted a forecast for March-May 2025 that predicts a tendency towards warmer-than-normal temperatures in the IGAD region. It was advised that the region should monitor updates closely, particularly for sub-seasonal forecasts, as these are critical for anticipating climate hazards.
Consistent weekly forecasts throughout February indicated notable temperature anomalies across the Greater Horn of Africa, elevating the risk of extreme temperature events. Observational analysis from February showed that South Sudan, Uganda, and parts of northern and western Kenya were predominantly affected by extreme heat.
Specifically, the analysis of maximum daily temperatures during February revealed that many regions in South Sudan, southeastern Sudan, northern Kenya, and southern Somalia had temperatures surpassing 38°C. Furthermore, some areas registered daily maximums of 40°C, particularly in South Sudan and Kenya, amplifying the threat to human welfare, livestock health, and socio-economic stability.
The ongoing extreme temperatures in the IGAD region, particularly in South Sudan, pose significant challenges. The forecasts from GHACOF indicate a troubling trend towards higher temperatures, which, if unchecked, could adversely impact human and environmental health. Continuous monitoring and responsive measures are essential to mitigate these effects and protect vulnerable populations.
Original Source: reliefweb.int
