Russia is pursuing a deal to retain its military bases in Syria amidst new leadership and uncertainty from U.S. allies. Following significant financial aid to Syria, Moscow aims to expand its economic influence while benefitting from its resilient military presence, as negotiations progress on various issues including past actions and future projects.
In light of recent developments, Russia is actively pursuing a deal to retain its military bases in Syria. Previously, as President Bashar al-Assad faced imminent downfall, Russia labeled rebel forces approaching Damascus as terrorists. Now, with these very rebels taking control, Moscow perceives a chance to bolster its economic interests and sustain its military foothold.
Vladimir Putin has played a crucial role in preserving the Assad regime throughout Syria’s protracted civil conflict. The bases established by Russia have allowed it to exert influence across the Mediterranean and Africa, while also targeting rebel positions. Following Assad’s departure from Syria, he sought asylum in Russia.
The U.S.’s uncertain stance on Syria has left its Middle Eastern allies unsure about emergency funding for the new government. This pause has inadvertently provided Russia with an opportunity to strengthen its influence in Syria, thus enhancing its presence.
Recently, Russia has taken tangible steps toward solidifying its relationship with Syria. It delivered approximately $23 million in Syrian banknotes to the central bank in Damascus, a significant move given that many countries are wary of engaging due to potential sanctions. This financial assistance coincided with Qatar and Saudi Arabia delaying planned funds for the new regime, awaiting guidance from the United States regarding sanctions.
The Kremlin, under its own sanctions from the West over the conflict in Ukraine, sees no such prohibitions affecting its dealings with Syria. Anna Borshchevskaya, a fellow at the Washington Institute, noted that Russia is free from ethical constraints in its negotiations, emphasizing the West’s responsibility to engage meaningfully with Syria to mitigate Russia’s influence in the region.
Maintaining its military bases stands as a critical objective for Russia, significantly extending its reach amidst setbacks in Ukraine. Ongoing discussions encompass a wide range of topics, from substantial financial investments into Syria’s economy to requests for an apology regarding previous military actions. Russia has, however, rejected a request for the extradition of Assad.
Contrastingly, the Trump administration has yet to outline a strategic plan regarding the new regime, complicating any resistance to Russia’s reintegration. David Schenker, a former U.S. diplomat, commented on the lack of American involvement, which diminishes efforts to counter Russian advances in Syria.
An agreement between Russia and Syria could revitalize the longstanding ties essential for both parties, echoing the partnerships of previous years. Historically, Syria was one of Russia’s most devoted allies, facilitating significant trade activity including oil extraction and natural gas processing.
Negotiations began with Russian officials visiting Syria to deliberate on the future of key military bases, eventually broadening to include extensive economic cooperation. Following a pivotal phone call between Putin and the newly elected Syrian president, discussions quickly progressed, culminating in Russia’s financial support soon thereafter.
Syria aims to diversify its alliances, moving beyond reliance on Turkey which had previously supported opposition forces. Negotiations are presented as efforts to gain compensation for damages inflicted during Russian military operations in support of Assad.
Further, Syrian representatives are advocating for the return of financial resources transferred to Russia under the previous administration. Reports indicate that substantial payments were made to a Russian state bank, alongside significant investments by members of the Assad family in luxury real estate.
Putin’s invitation to Syrian officials to discuss agreements underscores Moscow’s commitment to revitalizing economic projects stalled during Assad’s regime. These projects include crucial developments at the Tartus port and various energy and resource concessions.
Having navigated complex dynamics, Russia seeks to rebuild its economic presence in Syria. Although Assad’s government proved inconsistent, Moscow sees renewed potential with the current leadership. Amidst its limited geopolitical alternatives, maintaining influence in Syria could serve as a counterbalance against Turkish and Iranian dominance in regional affairs.
In conclusion, Russia is actively negotiating to sustain its military presence in Syria amidst a shifting political landscape. With the uncertainty surrounding U.S. involvement, Russia has found an unexpected opportunity to strengthen its economic ties and military foothold in the region. The evolving relationship signifies a substantial shift in alliances, with both Russia and the new Syrian leadership seeking mutual benefits. As negotiations progress, the implications for regional dynamics and international influence continue to unfold.
Original Source: www.livemint.com
